The yield curve is flattening and could invert, a signal that a recession may be coming.

Following the jobs report on Friday that showed job creation had deteriorated from “decent” to “weak,” yields dropped across the board, except for the 30-year yield, which ticked up. Yields are now ...

The yield on the 10-year note finished October 9, 2026 at 5.24%, while the 2-year note ended at 4.80%. The chart below overlays the daily performance of several ...

The yield curve has long been a closely watched indicator of economic health. When the yield curve inverts, meaning short-term interest rates exceed long-term rates, it is often seen as a harbinger of ...

Data: FactSet; Chart: Axios/Matt Phillips The Treasury yield curve has reentered the financial chat, as investors and traders remain mindful of its strong record of forecasting recessions. Why it ...

For much of the last two years, the 2-year US Treasury yield has traded above the 10-year yield. When that happens, it historically has meant a recession is looming. So you’d think that investors and ...

The relationship between the 10- and 2-year Treasury yield briefly normalized Wednesday, reversing a classic recession indicator. Following economic news that showed a sharp decline in job openings ...

The inverted yield curve, an age-old recession indicator that has been flashing since July 2022, is proving reluctant to go away. The yield on the 10-year Treasury bond was higher than the yield on ...

The economy is in murky waters. Just a few months into 2025 and the stock market has taken a nosedive. Meanwhile, nearly 222,000 jobs have already been cut. Given the uncertain state of the economy — ...